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Why This #Gold BUY Setup Has Massive Upside Potential (XAUUSD)

🟢 XAUUSD BUY Setup Analysis

1. Bullish Market Structure Remains Intact

The first thing visible on the chart is a series of:

  • Higher Lows (HL)

  • Higher Highs (HH)

Despite the current pullback from around 4,632, price is still holding above the previous key support area around 4,583.

✅ Trend remains bullish until the higher-low structure breaks.

2. Break of Previous Swing High

Before the pullback, Gold aggressively pushed above the previous resistance area and created a new swing high near:

4,632.17

This breakout signals:

  • Strong buying momentum

  • Continuation of bullish order flow

  • Buyers are still in control

The current decline looks more like a retracement than a reversal.

3. Retest of Demand Zone

The highlighted zone around:

4,583 – 4,590

appears to be a demand area where:

  • Buyers previously entered

  • Strong impulsive move originated

  • Market imbalance was created

The projected path shows price returning into this zone before continuation.

✅ Institutionally, this is where traders often look for discounted entries.

4. Value Area / Volume Profile Support

The Volume Profile on the left shows significant traded volume around:

4,583

This level appears close to a High Volume Node (HVN).

Why this matters:

  • High-volume zones often act as support

  • Large market participants accumulated positions there

  • Price frequently revisits these areas before trending higher

✅ Strong volume support increases the probability of a bounce.

5. 44%-56% Retracement Zone

The marked zone shows:

  • 44%

  • 56%

retracement area

This represents a premium-discount rebalancing zone.

Professional traders often seek entries between:

  • 50%

  • 61.8%

of an impulsive leg.

The retracement into this zone offers:

✅ Better risk-to-reward

✅ Lower-risk entry

✅ Alignment with institutional trading concepts

6. Liquidity Grab Potential

The projected path suggests:

  1. Pullback into support

  2. Sweep liquidity below recent lows

  3. Rejection from demand

  4. Continuation higher

This is a classic liquidity-engineering pattern where:

  • Retail traders sell the pullback

  • Stops accumulate below support

  • Larger participants buy into the liquidity

7. Fibonacci Upside Targets

The Fibonacci extension levels show potential upside objectives:

Target 1

🎯 4,632.17

Previous high and initial resistance.

Target 2

🎯 4,666.11

Near the 0.50 Fibonacci zone.

Higher Targets

  • 4,674 (0.618)

  • 4,685 (0.786)

These become realistic if bullish momentum continues after reclaiming the high.

Entry Idea

Buy Zone

4,583 – 4,590

Confirmation

Look for:

  • Bullish engulfing candle

  • Strong rejection wick

  • Break of minor bearish structure

  • Increase in bullish volume

Invalidation

❌ Sustained close below the demand zone.

Targets

🎯 TP1: 4,632

🎯 TP2: 4,666

🎯 TP3: 4,674+


Any questions or feedback please respond


Chris


 
 
 

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