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🚨 Gold on Steroids Signals Major Sell-Off Ahead | XAUUSD Analysis

2 minutes ago
2 min read
My Gold Analysis for next week
My Gold Analysis for next week

Timeframe: Gold (XAU/USD), 1-hour chart.

Key Levels Visible

  • Major resistance/supply zone: 4390 - 4402

  • Current price area: 4377

  • Demand/support zone: 4357 - 4361

  • Lower support: 4304 - 4310

  • POC (Point of Control): around 4355

  • Nearest resistance shown by the software: approximately 4399

  • Trend Bias panel: Balanced

Market Structure

  1. Strong bullish impulse from 4280s into 4390s

    • Price has recently rallied aggressively.

    • Higher highs and higher lows are intact.

  2. Price is currently under a major supply zone

    • Several candles have rejected around 4390-4400.

    • Wicks indicate sellers defending that area.

  3. Volume profile

    • Heavy volume sits lower around 4355-4360.

    • Markets often revisit high-volume nodes before choosing the next directional move.

  4. Software projection

    • The black path drawn on the chart suggests:

      • A minor bounce upward first.

      • Failure below resistance.

      • Then a larger move down toward 4310-4320.

Most Likely Scenario (Based on Current Chart)

Bearish retracement first (60-65% probability)

Expected path:

  1. Retest 4385-4395

  2. Rejection from supply

  3. Drop into 4360

  4. If 4360 breaks, continuation toward:

    • 4330

    • 4310

    • potentially 4304 support

This aligns with the projected path drawn on the chart and the visible supply overhead.

Bullish Alternative

If buyers achieve an hourly close above 4402, the bearish idea becomes weaker.

Targets above:

  • 4420

  • 4432

  • 4442 (VAH area shown on the profile)

A clean breakout above the supply zone would suggest the market is still in trend continuation mode.

Trading Bias Right Now

Short-term: Bearish retracement.

Medium-term: Neutral to bullish while above 4304.

Confirmation I'd want for a sell:

  • Rejection candle around 4388-4400

  • Lower high on the 15m/1h chart

  • Breakdown below 4360

Probability View

Scenario

Probability

Pullback to 4360 then bounce

35%

Pullback to 4310-4330

40%

Immediate breakout above 4402

25%

So from this screenshot alone, the highest-probability next move appears to be one more test towards 4385-4395 followed by a decline into 4360, with risk of extension to 4310-4330 if demand fails. Chris WWW.THETRADINGMENTORS.COM/SHOP


 
 
 

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